Mike Glennon: Statistical Scouting Report

Posted on February 2, 2013

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See the other scouting reports here:

Geno Smith | Matt Barkley | Tyler Wilson | Mike Glennon

Mike Glennon is an interesting prospect to say the least. In a QB class where most of the prospects are barely throwing five yards past the line of scrimmage, Mike Glennon stands head and shoulders above the others by throwing deep more consistently. While I’m not always impressed by pure arm strength (see Tyler Bray), you have to consider Mike Glennon for specific offensive systems, if that’s what you’re interested in. There are a lot of other questions that need to be answered about him, such as can he gain weight and can he improve his consistency. Instead, let’s breakdown his stats.

As always; these stats are based off of me watching game film and writing down the factors that go into a play. I marked down where the ball was caught, what the formation was, why the ball was incomplete and many more factors.

Where Does He Throw the Ball?

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  • Glennon’s the only QB to closely represent the AvgQB! That is, the majority of the other QBs throw a high percentage of short passes. When you combine screens and 1-5 yard passes, Glennon and the AvgQB both throw approximately 40% in that zone.
  • He throws the intermediate zones at average. Like I’ve continually noted, I feel like the 11-20 yard range is the sweet spot for looking at an NFL quarterback. While we don’t see how effective he is there yet, he’s actually slightly above-average on these difficult throws.
  • He goes deep more often than average. Every other QB in this class has been below average in how often they go deep, Glennon was likely to go deep 17% of the time.

How Accurate Is He?

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Surprisingly accurate on the 1-5 yard passes.
This 1-5 yard completion percentage would put him above Griffin last year (77.4%) and only behind Andrew Luck and Russell Wilson. Not bad company to be in, this is considered in ‘elite’ territory in that zone(Drops are factored out in this chart)

  • Solid in the intermediate zone. Again, the sweet spot and we see Glennon doing just about average at 58%. While we might expect better from someone who was making his living on pushing it downfield, it’s not bad.
  • His deep completion percentage is slightly concerning. He’s essentially tied with Tyler Wilson and Geno Smith at 44% completion percentage on 20+ yard throws. Honestly, for someone with the “big arm” label, we should expect to see something higher, considering that he goes deep more often than others. This is also a function of his receivers getting open, so we’d need to check out the tape on that.

Where Are His Incompletions Coming From?

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  • Overthrows. Lots of overthrows. Here’s where we can partially confirm the narrative about his big arm and consistency issues. Over 15% of his passes were overthrown. Is that something that can be coached out at the next level? Possibly. But worth looking at.
  • His receivers were pretty bad. Glennon could be hitting his receivers too hard on patterns and that’s causing the high amount of drops. However, after watching the tape, his receivers spent way too much time trying to run before the ball got there.

Any Other Positives/ Red Flags?

  • The distance of his throws were much longer than the others. On average, before yards after the catch, his completions were 9 yards deep. That’s three yards more than any other QB. It’s good to see a QB who can complete the ball downfield.
  • He had the most red zone yardage of any of the QBs. Glennon had 309 yards within the red zone, more than 80 more than the next closest QB.
  • His third down completion percentage was good. At 69% completion percentage on third down, he’s actually better on third down than he was on average. That can’t be a bad thing.

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Overall

Statistically, you could make the case that Glennon is the most NFL ready quarterback. He threw the NFL route tree far more often than the other QBs and has done the more ‘difficult’ things in college. He definitely needs to be evaluated on things that I haven’t gone into detail on here. For instance, for all QBs I chose to ignore interceptions because of the limited sample size of them. However, you look at his three interceptions in the Music City Bowl and have to evaluate what happened there. I’m not saying Glennon will be better or worse than Smith or Barkley, but his play in college indicates that if all the other factors are correct, he has the experience and ability to translate his skills into an NFL offense quickly.

**If you’ve liked this, you can follow me at . I have approximately one follower right now, since I just started this up. I do work pretty much every day breaking down prospects and I’ll be tweeting out interesting stats that I come across (today I found out Justin Hunter drops ~10% of his passes), future articles/breakdowns (Dysert, Nassib, Manuel post upcoming), or let you know when I post new things (hopefully a WR post soon) . Thanks a lot!

-Second Round Stats

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Posted in: Quarterbacks